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\newcommand{\FigNoteFS}{\footnotesize All outcomes are standardized ICW indexes (see items in Table 2). Top panels within each subfigure provide pooled estimates of treatment effects; bottom panels provide estimates with disaggregated treatment variants. Estimated using Equation (1). Top panel of Figure 4a excludes \textit{Text} from \textit{Pooled treatment} since they were not sent podcasts; $p$-values are from pre-registered tests of differences between treatment variants indicated in bottom panels, while the interior and exterior bars represent 90\% and 95\% confidence intervals.}

\newcommand{\FigNote}{\footnotesize All outcomes are standardized ICW indexes (see items in Table 2). Top panels within each subfigure provide pooled estimates of treatment effects; bottom panels provide estimates with disaggregated treatment variants. Estimated using Equation (1); $p$-values are from pre-registered tests of differences between treatment variants indicated in bottom panels, while the interior and exterior bars represent 90\% and 95\% confidence intervals.}

\newcommand{\FigNoteScript}{\scriptsize Top panels within each subfigure provide pooled estimates of treatment effects; bottom panels provide estimates with disaggregated treatment variants. Estimated using Equation (1); $p$-values are from pre-registered tests of differences between treatment variants indicated in bottom panels, while the interior and exterior bars represent 90\% and 95\% confidence intervals.}

\newcommand{\FigNoteShort}{\footnotesize Estimated using Equation (1); while the interior and exterior bars represent 90\% and 95\% confidence intervals.}

\newcommand{\FigNoteShortScript}{\scriptsize Estimated using Equation (1); while the interior and exterior bars represent 90\% and 95\% confidence intervals.}

\newcommand{\Starnote}{\footnotesize \textit{Notes}: See Table 2 for variable definitions. All specifications are estimated using OLS, and adjust for randomization block fixed effects; even-indexed columns further include LASSO-selected controls. Heteroskedasticity-robust standard errors in parentheses, while $p$-values (adjusted for pre-registered direction when relevant) are in square brackets.}

\newcommand{\StarnoteCtrl}{\scriptsize \textit{Notes}: Regressions of ICW index outcomes used in main figures in text including all LASSO-selected controls. Column header provides Figure corresponding to relevant ICW outcome in the manuscript. All specifications are estimated using OLS, and adjust for randomization block fixed effects. Heteroskedasticity-robust standard errors in parentheses.}

\newcommand{\Balance}{\footnotesize \textit{Notes}: See Table 2 for variable definitions. All specifications are estimated using OLS, and adjust for randomization block fixed effects. $p(\bm{\tau}_{pooled}=0)$ provides the p-value from a test of joint significance of coefficients in the pooled estimation (control; placebo incentives; pooled treatment); $p(\bm{\tau}_{disagg.}=0)$ provides the p-value from a test of joint significance of coefficients in the disaggregated estimation (control; placebo incentives; text; short; long; empathetic).}


\begin{document}
\appendix
\begin{center} \large \singlespacing
\textbf{Sustaining Exposure to Fact-checks:\\Misinformation Discernment, Media Consumption, and its Political Implications}

\

\normalsize  Jeremy Bowles, Kevin Croke, Horacio Larreguy, Shelley Liu \& John Marshall

\

\textbf{Replication of Tables and Figures}
\end{center}

\appendixTOC
\clearpage

\addcontentsline{toc}{section}{Main paper}

\begin{figure}[!htpb]
    \begin{minipage}{0.49\textwidth}
    \centering
        \includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{Figures/Figure 1a.pdf}
        \subcaption{Topics fact-checked}
    \end{minipage}\vspace{1em}
    \begin{minipage}{0.49\textwidth}
    \centering
        \includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{Figures/Figure 1b.pdf} \vspace{0.25em}
        \subcaption{Accuracy of facts checked}
    \end{minipage}
\vspace{-10pt}
    \caption{Biweekly fact-checked content}
    \label{fig:factchecked}
\vspace{6pt}
    \footnotesize \textit{Notes:} Fact-check categories in (a) were coded independently by an undergraduate research assistant. Examples of fact-checks within each category are provided in Appendix B.1. Accuracy categories in (b) are provided by Africa Check's fact-checking.
\end{figure}

\setcounter{table}{1}

\input{Tables/Table 2.tex}

\setcounter{figure}{3}

\begin{figure}[!htpb]
\vspace*{-1.25em}
\begin{center}
\begin{minipage}{0.75\textwidth} \centering
\includegraphics[scale=0.75]{Figures/Figure 4a.pdf}
\subcaption{Podcast take-up \label{Figure_4a}}
\end{minipage}
\begin{minipage}{0.75\textwidth} \centering
\includegraphics[scale=0.75]{Figures/Figure 4b.pdf}
\subcaption{Treatment knowledge \label{Figure_4b}}
\end{minipage}
\begin{minipage}{0.75\textwidth} \centering
\includegraphics[scale=0.75]{Figures/Figure 4c.pdf}
\subcaption{Intended future take-up \label{Figure_4c}}
\end{minipage}
\caption{Treatment effects on take-up \label{Figure_4}}
\end{center}
\FigNoteFS \;Tables F1-F3 report regression results for each index and its components; Tables F14 and F15 further include LASSO-selected covariate coefficients. 
\end{figure}


\begin{figure}[!htpb]
\begin{center}
\begin{minipage}{0.8\textwidth} \centering
\includegraphics[scale=0.8]{Figures/Figure 5a.pdf}
\subcaption{Discernment between true and fake news stories \label{Figure_5a}}
\end{minipage}
\begin{minipage}{0.8\textwidth} \centering
\includegraphics[scale=0.8]{Figures/Figure 5b.pdf}
\subcaption{Skepticism of conspiracy theories \label{Figure_5b}}
\end{minipage}
\caption{Treatment effects on (a) discernment between fake and true news and (b) skepticism of conspiracy theories \label{Figure_5}}
\end{center}
\footnotesize \textit{Notes:} \FigNote \;Tables F4 and F5 report regression results for each index and its components; Tables F14 and F15 further include LASSO-selected covariate coefficients.
\end{figure}

\begin{figure}[!htpb]
\begin{center}
\begin{minipage}{0.8\textwidth} \centering
\includegraphics[scale=0.7]{Figures/Figure 6a.pdf}
\subcaption{Knowledge of verification methods \label{Figure_6a}}
\end{minipage}
\begin{minipage}{0.8\textwidth} \centering
\includegraphics[scale=0.7]{Figures/Figure 6b.pdf}
\subcaption{Attention to veracity of social media content \label{Figure_6b}}
\end{minipage}
\begin{minipage}{0.8\textwidth} \centering
\includegraphics[scale=0.7]{Figures/Figure 6c.pdf}
\subcaption{Trust in social media (besides WhatsApp) \label{Figure_6c}}
\end{minipage}
\caption{Treatment effects on news verification knowledge, attention to veracity of social media content, and attitudes towards social media \label{Figure_6}}
\end{center}
\footnotesize \textit{Notes:} \FigNote \;Tables F6-F8 report regression results for each index and its components; Tables F14 and F15 further include LASSO-selected covariates.
\end{figure}

\begin{figure}[!htpb]
\begin{center}
\begin{minipage}{0.75\textwidth} \centering
\includegraphics[scale=0.75]{Figures/Figure 7a.pdf}
\subcaption{Social media consumption \label{Figure_7a}}
\end{minipage}
\begin{minipage}{.75\textwidth} \centering
\includegraphics[scale=0.75]{Figures/Figure 7b.pdf}
\subcaption{Active verification \label{Figure_7b}}
\end{minipage}
\begin{minipage}{.75\textwidth} \centering
\includegraphics[scale=0.75]{Figures/Figure 7c.pdf}
\subcaption{Sharing \label{Figure_7c}}
\end{minipage}
\caption{Treatment effects on social media consumption, verification, and sharing \label{Figure_7}}
\end{center}
\footnotesize \textit{Notes:} \FigNote \;Tables F9-F11 report regression results for each index and its components; Tables F14 and F15 further include LASSO-selected covariates.
\end{figure}

\begin{figure}
\begin{center}
\begin{minipage}{0.8\textwidth} \centering
\includegraphics[scale=0.8]{Figures/Figure 8a.pdf}
\subcaption{COVID-19 beliefs and preventative behaviors \label{Figure_8a}}
\end{minipage}
\begin{minipage}{0.8\textwidth} \centering
\includegraphics[scale=0.8]{Figures/Figure 8b.pdf}
\subcaption{Views and attitudes about  the government \label{Figure_8b}}
\end{minipage}
\caption{Treatment effects on COVID-19 beliefs and preventative behaviors and views and attitudes about the government \label{Figure_8}}
\end{center} 
\footnotesize \textit{Notes:} \FigNote \;Tables F12 and F13 report regression results for each index and its components; Tables F14 and F15 further include LASSO-selected covariates.
\end{figure}

\clearpage

\addcontentsline{toc}{section}{Supplementary materials}

\renewcommand{\thesection}{C}
\section{Study design}

\subsection{Figures}

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\begin{figure}[h!] \vspace*{-2em}
\begin{center}
\begin{minipage}{0.34\textwidth}
\includegraphics[scale=0.56]{Figures/Figure C2a.pdf}
\subcaption{Age group, gender, urbanity \label{Figure_C2a}}
\end{minipage}
\begin{minipage}{0.55\textwidth}
\includegraphics[scale=0.56]{Figures/Figure C2b.pdf}
\subcaption{Education \label{Figure_C2b}}
\end{minipage}
\vspace{10pt}
\begin{minipage}{0.34\textwidth}
\includegraphics[scale=0.56]{Figures/Figure C2c.pdf}
\subcaption{Ethnicity \label{Figure_C2c}}
\end{minipage}
\begin{minipage}{0.55\textwidth}
\includegraphics[scale=0.48]{Figures/Figure C2d.pdf}
\subcaption{Province \label{Figure_C2d}}
\end{minipage} \vspace{-1em}
\caption{Comparison of endline sample with Afrobarometer round 7 (2018) \label{Figure_C2}}
\end{center}
\end{figure}

\begin{figure}[!htpb]
\begin{center}
\begin{minipage}{0.75\textwidth} \centering
\includegraphics[scale=0.75]{Figures/Figure C3a.pdf}
\subcaption{Quiz engagement and incentive payments (overall)  \label{Figure_C3a}}
\end{minipage}
\begin{minipage}{0.48\textwidth} \centering
\includegraphics[scale=0.75]{Figures/Figure C3b.pdf}
\subcaption{Quiz engagement and incentive payments (pooled treatment) \label{Figure_C3b}}
\end{minipage}
\begin{minipage}{0.48\textwidth} \centering
\includegraphics[scale=0.75]{Figures/Figure C3c.pdf}
\subcaption{Quiz engagement and incentive payments (disaggregated treatment) \label{Figure_C3c}}
\end{minipage}
\caption{Quiz engagement over study \label{Figure_C3}}
\end{center}
\footnotesize \textit{Notes:} Figure plots average participation, and the average share of participants answering more than 50\% of questions correctly (and hence receiving a larger incentive payment for completing the quiz), through each of the four study quizzes (fact-check or placebo) participants were sent between baseline and endline. 
\end{figure}

\clearpage

\subsection{Balance and attrition}

\input{Tables/Table C1.tex}

\input{Tables/Table C2.tex}

\clearpage 

\renewcommand{\thesection}{D}
\section{Figures referenced in main text}

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\begin{figure}[!htpb]
\begin{center}\vspace{-1em}
\begin{minipage}{0.49\textwidth}
\centering
\includegraphics[width=0.74\textwidth]{Figures/Figure D1a.pdf}
\subcaption{Correct discernment of true news stories \label{Figure_D1a}}
\end{minipage}
\begin{minipage}{0.49\textwidth}
\centering
\includegraphics[width=0.74\textwidth]{Figures/Figure D1b.pdf}
\subcaption{Correct discernment of false news stories \label{Figure_D1b}}
\end{minipage}\vspace{-0.25em}
\caption{Treatment effects on discernment between fake and true news \label{Figure_D1}}
\end{center}\vspace{-1em}
\scriptsize \textit{Notes:} All outcomes are standardized inverse covariance-weighted indexes: (a): level of confidence in truthful claims about how COVID spreads (true) and if alcohol exacerbates infections (true); (b) lack of confidence in false claims about inflation of matriculation exam scores (false) and most workers being immigrants (false).
\FigNoteShortScript \;
\end{figure} 

\begin{figure}[!htpb]
\begin{center}
\begin{minipage}{0.49\textwidth}
\centering
\includegraphics[width=0.74\textwidth]{Figures/Figure D2.pdf}
\end{minipage}\vspace{-0.25em}
\caption{Treatment effects on difficulty of fact-checking \label{Figure_D2}}
\end{center} \vspace{-1em}
\scriptsize \textit{Notes:} All outcomes are standardized inverse covariance-weighted indexes: Challenging to verify information due to knowledge, irrelevant fact-checks, distrust fact-checkers, too expensive, overwhelming information, takes too long. \FigNoteShortScript
\end{figure} \vspace{-1em}

\begin{figure}[!htpb]
\begin{center}
\begin{minipage}{0.49\textwidth} \centering
\includegraphics[width=0.74\textwidth]{Figures/Figure D3a.pdf}
\subcaption{Verify through Africa Check \label{Figure_D3a}}
\end{minipage}
\begin{minipage}{0.49\textwidth} \centering
\includegraphics[width=0.74\textwidth]{Figures/Figure D3b.pdf}
\subcaption{Verify through other fact-checkers \label{Figure_D3b}}
\end{minipage} \\
\vspace{10pt}
\begin{minipage}{0.49\textwidth} \centering
\includegraphics[width=0.74\textwidth]{Figures/Figure D3c.pdf}
\subcaption{Verify through online and social  media \label{Figure_D3c}}
\end{minipage}
\begin{minipage}{0.49\textwidth} \centering
\includegraphics[width=0.74\textwidth]{Figures/Figure D3d.pdf}
\subcaption{Verify through traditional media \label{Figure_D3d}}
\end{minipage}\vspace{-0.25em}
\caption{Treatment effects on the use of different information sources for verification \label{Figure_D3}}
\end{center} \vspace{-1em}
\scriptsize \textit{Notes:} All outcomes are standardized inverse covariance-weighted indexes: (a): lists WCW as a source for fact-checking; (b) lists AFP or Snopes as a source; (c) lists Facebook, Google, Moya, Telegram, Twitter, WhatsApp, or YouTube as a source; (d) lists News24 or SABC as a source. \FigNoteScript
\end{figure}

\begin{figure}[!htpb]
\begin{center}
\includegraphics[width=0.9\textwidth]{Figures/Figure D4.pdf}
\end{center}
\caption{Heterogeneous treatment effects\label{Figure_D4}}
\vspace{0.25cm} \footnotesize \textit{Notes:} All outcomes are standardized inverse covariance-weighted indexes corresponding to outcomes in the main manuscript (results split by which figure in the manuscript they correspond to). For a given row (outcome), the top coefficient represents the main effect of the pooled treatment while the bottom coefficient represents the coefficient on the interaction of the pooled treatment and a given pre-treatment covariate (which varies across the columns). 90\% and 95\% confidence intervals plotted.
\end{figure}

\clearpage

\renewcommand{\thesection}{E}
\section{Figures referenced in supplementary materials and PAP}

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\begin{figure}[!htpb]
\begin{minipage}{0.48\textwidth}
\begin{center}
\includegraphics[scale=0.55]{Figures/Figure E1.pdf}
\caption{Being alerted about fake news \label{Figure_E1}}
\end{center}
\vspace{-0.5em}\footnotesize \textit{Notes:} Outcome is standardized: How often participant is alerted about fake news. \FigNote \;
\end{minipage}\hspace{0.02\textwidth}
\begin{minipage}{0.48\textwidth}
\begin{center}
\includegraphics[scale=0.55]{Figures/Figure E2.pdf}
\caption{Alerting others about fake news \label{Figure_E2}}
\end{center}
\vspace{-0.5em}\footnotesize \textit{Notes:} Outcome is standardized: How often participant reports alerting others about misinformation. \FigNote
\end{minipage}
\end{figure} 

\begin{figure}[!htpb]
\begin{center}
\begin{minipage}{0.48\textwidth}
\centering
\includegraphics[scale=0.55]{Figures/Figure E3a.pdf}
\subcaption{Perceived truthfulness of social media content \label{Figure_E3a}}
\end{minipage}\hspace{0.02\textwidth}
\begin{minipage}{0.48\textwidth}
\centering
\includegraphics[scale=0.55]{Figures/Figure E3b.pdf}
\subcaption{Trust in social media content \label{Figure_E3b}}
\end{minipage}
\caption{Disaggregating index on social media trust \label{Figure_E3}}
\end{center}
\vspace{-0.5em}\footnotesize \textit{Notes:} All outcomes are standardized inverse covariance-weighted indexes: (a): believes information from social media likely to be true; (b) trusts information on social media, and thinks information on social media is most trustworthy. \FigNote
\begin{center}
\begin{minipage}{0.48\textwidth}
\centering
\includegraphics[scale=0.55]{Figures/Figure E4a.pdf}
\subcaption{Trust in traditional media \label{Figure_E4a}}
\end{minipage}\hspace{0.02\textwidth}
\begin{minipage}{0.48\textwidth}
\centering
\includegraphics[scale=0.55]{Figures/Figure E4b.pdf}
\subcaption{Trust information sent by close ties \label{Figure_E4b}}
\end{minipage}
\caption{Treatment effects on trust in different sources \label{Figure_E4}}
\end{center}
\vspace{-0.5em}\footnotesize \textit{Notes:} All outcomes are standardized inverse covariance-weighted indexes: (a): how true is info on radio/TV, trusts newspapers most for information, trusts information from radio/TV; (b) how true is info from friends and family, trusts info from friends and family, trusts WhatsApp messages from friends and family. \FigNote
\end{figure}

\begin{figure}[!htpb]
\begin{center}
\begin{minipage}{0.48\textwidth}
\centering
\includegraphics[scale=0.55]{Figures/Figure E5a.pdf}
\subcaption{Traditional media consumption \label{Figure_E5a}}
\end{minipage}
\begin{minipage}{0.48\textwidth}
\centering
\includegraphics[scale=0.55]{Figures/Figure E5b.pdf}
\subcaption{Consumption of news from close ties \label{Figure_E5b}}
\end{minipage}
\caption{Treatment effects on consumption from different sources \label{Figure_E5}}
\end{center}
 \vspace*{-0.5em}\footnotesize \textit{Notes:} All outcomes are standardized inverse covariance-weighted indexes: (a): how often gets news from radio/TV; (b) how often gets news from friends and family.  
\FigNote 
\end{figure}

\begin{figure}[!htpb]
\begin{minipage}{0.50\textwidth}
\centering
\includegraphics[scale=0.55]{Figures/Figure E6.pdf}
\caption{Perceptions of government capacity \label{Figure_E6}}
\end{minipage}
\begin{minipage}{0.49\textwidth}
\centering
\includegraphics[scale=0.55]{Figures/Figure E7.pdf}
\caption{Populist attitudes \label{Figure_E7}}
\end{minipage}
\begin{center}
\begin{minipage}{0.48\textwidth}
\includegraphics[scale=0.55]{Figures/Figure E8.pdf}
\caption{Fact-check requests  \label{Figure_E8}}
\end{minipage}
\end{center}
\footnotesize \textit{Notes:} \textbf{Fig \ref{Figure_E6}:} Outcome is standardized inverse covariance-weighted index comprising perception of government capacity to provide roads; perception of government capacity to supply electricity. \textbf{Fig \ref{Figure_E7}:} Outcome is standardized inverse covariance-weighted index comprising perception of policies benefit elites; perception that ordinary people have no influence over policy. \textbf{Fig \ref{Figure_E8}:} Outcome is a standardized  indicator for participant submitting a fact-check request to Africa Check. \FigNote
\end{figure}

\clearpage

\renewcommand{\thesection}{F}
\section{Tables corresponding to figures in main text} 

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\input{Tables/Table F1.tex}
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\input{Tables/Table F3.tex}
\begin{landscape}\input{Tables/Table F4.tex}\end{landscape}
\begin{landscape}\input{Tables/Table F5.tex}\end{landscape}
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\input{Tables/Table F7.tex}
\input{Tables/Table F8.tex}
\input{Tables/Table F9.tex}
\input{Tables/Table F10.tex}
\input{Tables/Table F11.tex}
\begin{landscape}\input{Tables/Table F12.tex}\end{landscape} 
\begin{landscape}\input{Tables/Table F13.tex}\end{landscape} 
\begin{landscape}\input{Tables/Table F14.tex}\end{landscape} 
\begin{landscape}\input{Tables/Table F15.tex}\end{landscape} 

\renewcommand{\Starnote}{\scriptsize \textit{Notes}: Outcomes are standardized indexes of all ICW indexes in a given figure (see column headers). ICW indexes are reversed to ensure hypotheses share the same expected direction. All specifications are estimated using OLS, and adjust for randomization block fixed effects; even-indexed columns further include LASSO-selected controls. Heteroskedasticity-robust standard errors in parentheses. $p$-values in square brackets adjust for multiple testing using Benjamini-Hochberg correction both across treatment coefficients and across outcomes (holding fixed whether the specification includes controls or not).}

\begin{landscape}\input{Tables/Table F16.tex}\end{landscape} 

\end{document}